Victorian Election Debate Novelties On Offer

The East West Link, education and Daniel Andrews’ Union background. All these topics and more will be covered at tomorrow night’s debate in the build up to the Victorian election, but the big question remains – what colour will tie will both Andrews and Denis Napthine wear!

The colour of each leaders tie is only one market online bookmaker sportsbet.com.au are offering for the first debate:

  • It’s a safe bet that they will keep it simple when it comes to their choice of tie, with Napthine $1.30 to wear Blue and Andrews $1.30 to wear Labor red.
  • If they wish to spice it up, Napthine is $21 to wear a rainbow coloured tie and Andrews is $34 to stick to his Union roots and wear a tie with the CMFEU logo on it.
  • Andrews remains the clear favourite at $1.50 to be declared the winner of the debate, with Napthine the $2.50 outsider.
  • The East West Link looks set to be a hot topic, with $3.00 priced that it will be mentioned four times.
  • Education is tipped to be high on Andrews’ priorities, with $2.50 priced that he will mention it three times in his opening statement.

In other Victorian election betting news:

  • After a quiet few weeks, money is beginning to come again for the Liberals, who have firmed on the back of this support – there is now more bets placed on the Liberals compared to Labor and as a result they have firmed into $5.00.
  • Forest Hill is once again too close to call, with both the Coalition and Labor split at $1.85.
  • Tracie Lund’s run in Morwell leaves the seat wide open. Lund is the $4.50 outsider with the Nationals $1.73 ahead of Labor ($3.50).

2014 Victorian State Election Winner
(Prices in brackets from Monday 17 November)
$1.15               Labor          
    (out from $1.14)             

$5.00               Liberals           (in from $5.20)

Who will win the leaders debate?

$1.50           Daniel Andrews
$2.50               Denis Napthine

Terms:  Based on winner of November 19 debate, as determined by Sky News poll of audience.

Who will attend the debate?

$1.80             Sean Armistead, Paul Edbrooke
$2.20               Matthew Guy
$2.50               Ted Ballieu, Geoff Shaw
$7.00               Neil Mitchell
$8.00               Gotye
$9.00               Clive Palmer
$12                  Jeff Kennett, Derryn Hench
$13                  Alan Jones
$14                  Tony Abbott, Bill Shorten
$15                  Andrew Bolt
$17                  360
$19                  Mike Baird, Campbell Newman
$21                  Kevin Rudd, Jacqui Lambie
$26                  Julia Gillard, John Howard

 

What colour will Napthine’s tie be at the debate?

$1.30            Blue
$7.00             Black
$8.00             Gold
$11                  Purple, Red
$12                  Green
$13                  Silver
$16                  Pink
$21                  Rainbow

What colour will Andrews’ tie be at the debate?

$1.30           Red
$7.00             Blue
$8.00             Green
$9.00             Purple
$11                  Brown
$12                  Pink
$13                  Silver, Grey
$14                  Yellow
$17                  Orange, Black
$26                  Australian flag
$34                  Black with CMFEU slogan

How Many times will the East-West Link be mentioned (in separate statements)

$21                  Zero

$7.00               1

$5.00               2

$4.00               3

$3.00               4

$4.00               5

$5.00               six or more

Will Daniel Andrews be asked about his union background?

$1.20               Yes

$4.00               No

How many times will Daniel Andrews mention Education in his opening statement?

$16.00             Zero

$4.50               1

$3.25               2

$2.50               3

$4.00               4

$5.00               5 or more

 
Albert Park
$1.33               Labor              

$3.50               Coalition
$15                  Tex Perkins

Altona
$1.01               Labor              

$12                  Coalition

Bass
$1.02            Coalition             

$10                     Labor

Bayswater
$1.37              Coalition         (out from $1.28)
$2.90                 Labor               (in from $3.25)

Bellarine
$1.22               Labor      
         (out from $1.20)
$3.90               Coalition          (in from $4.00)

Benambra
$1.01             Coalition
$12                      Labor

Bendigo East
$1.06               Labor
$7.50                Coalition

Bendigo West
$1.06               Labor
$7.50               Coalition

Bentleigh
$1.30               Labor           
   (in from $1.50)              
$3.30               Coalition          (out from $2.50)

Box Hill
$1.05             Coalition      
   (in from $1.10)         
$6.00                 Labor               (steady)

Brighton
$1.02             Coalition
$10                      Labor

Broadmeadows
$1.01               Labor
$12                   Coalition

Brunswick
$1.10               Labor            
(steady)              
$11                    Greens             (out from $9.00)
$14                  Coalition           (steady)

Bulleen
$1.01              Coalition            

$12                      Labor

Bundoora
$1.01                Labor
$12                    Coalition

Buninyong
$1.08               Labor           
 (in from $1.19)             
$7.00               Coalition          (out from $4.50)

Burwood
$1.20             Coalition      
 (in from $1.33)         
$4.00               Labor               (out from $3.00)

Carrum
$1.20               Labor           
 (in from $1.45)              
$4.00               Coalition          (out from $2.60)

Caulfield
$1.03            Coalition         (in from $1.10)
$10                     Labor              (out from $6.00)

Clarinda
$1.01               Labor            

$12                  Coalition

Cranbourne
$1.08               Labor            (in from $1.20)             

$7.00               Coalition          (out from $4.20)

Croydon
$1.02            Coalition         (in from $1.10)
$11                      Labor              (out from $6.00)        

Dandenong
$1.01               Labor           

$12                  Coalition

Eildon
$1.10               Coalition     
(in from $1.20)         
$6.00               Labor               (out from $4.00)

Eltham
$1.15               Labor           
   (in from $1.35)              
$5.00               Coalition          (out from $3.00)

Essendon
$1.04               Labor
$8.50               Coalition

Euroa
$1.02             Coalition
$10                      Labor

Evelyn
$1.03             Coalition         (in from $1.06)
$10                      Labor              (out from $7.50)

Ferntree Gully
$1.10               Coalition            

$6.00                   Labor

Footscray
$1.05                 Labor
$7.00                 Coalition

Forest Hill
$1.85               Coalition         (out from $1.50)
$1.85                    Labor               (in from $2.50)

Frankston
$1.15               Labor              

$5.00               Coalition
$21                  Geoff Shaw

Geelong
$1.15               Labor              (in from $1.30)
$5.00               Coalition          (out from $3.30)

Gembrook
$1.14               Coalition
$5.00                  Labor

Gippsland East
$1.01              Coalition
$12                       Labor

Gippsland South
$1.01              Coalition
$12                       Labor

Hastings
$1.14               Coalition            

$5.00                   Labor

Hawthorn
$1.01               Coalition
$12                        Labor

Ivanhoe
$1.12               Labor             
 (in from $1.17)              
$7.00               Coalition          (out from $6.00)
$13                  Craig Langdon (out from $10)

Kew
$1.01             Coalition            

$12                     Labor

Keysborough
$1.01               Labor           

$12                  Coalition

Kororoit
$1.01               Labor           

$12                  Coalition

Lara
$1.01               Labor           

$12                  Coalition

Lowan
$1.01            Coalition
$12                    Labor

Macedon
$1.40               Labor          
 (in from $1.87)              
$2.75               Coalition         (out from $1.87)          

Malvern
$1.01            Coalition
$12                    Labor

Melbourne
$1.40               Labor
$2.75                 Greens
$21                   Coalition

Melton
$1.01               Labor           

$12                  Coalition

Mildura
$1.01            Coalition
$12                    Labor

Mill Park
$1.01               Labor
$12                  Coalition

Monbulk
$1.15               Labor              (in from $1.25)
$5.00               Coalition          (out from $3.50)

Mordialloc
$1.55             Coalition          (in from $1.68)
$2.30                 Labor               (in from $2.50)

Mornington
$1.01             Coalition          

$12                      Labor

Morwell
$1.73             Nationals
$3.50                  Labor
$4.50               Tracie Lund Independent

Mount Waverly
$1.14               Coalition          

$5.00                   Labor

Mulgrave
$1.05               Labor              
(in from $1.25)              
$8.00               Coalition          (out from $3.70)

Murray Plains
$1.01             Coalition          

$12                     Labor

Narracan
$1.01             Coalition          

$12                     Labor

Narre Warren North
$1.07               Labor
$7.00               Coalition

Narre Warren South
$1.10               Labor              (in from $1.25)
$6.00               Coalition          (out from $3.70)

Nepean
$1.02               Coalition          

$10                  Labor

Niddrie
$1.04               Labor              

$8.50               Coalition

Northcote
$1.03               Labor              

$13                  Greens
$16                  Coalition

Oakleigh
$1.04               Labor           

$8.50               Coalition

Ovens Valley
$1.01             Coalition           

$12                    Labor

Pascoe Vale
$1.01               Labor           

$12                  Coalition

Polwarth
$1.02              Coalition
$10                     Labor

Prahran

$1.20             Coalition
$4.00                 Labor

Preston
$1.01               Labor           

$12                  Coalition

Richmond
$1.20               Labor              
(out from $1.14)              
$5.00               Greens
$16                  Coalition

Ringwood
$1.37               Coalition    
 (out from $1.33)         
$2.90               Labor               (in from $3.00)

Ripon
$1.10           Coalition     
    (in from $1.15)
$5.00               Labor

Rowville
$1.02           Coalition           

$10                   Labor

Sandringham
$1.01          Coalition           

$12                  Labor

Shepparton
$1.01          Coalition
$12                  Labor

South Barwon
$1.45           Coalition         (in from $1.57)
$2.50               Labor              (out from $2.30)

South-West Coast
$1.04            Coalition        
(in from $1.10)          
$9.00               Labor                  (out from $6.00)

St Albans
$1.02               Labor           

$10                  Coalition

Sunbury
$1.04               Labor              
(in from $1.12)              
$9.00               Coalition          (out from $5.00)

Sydenham
$1.01               Labor
$12                  Coalition

Tarneit
$1.02               Labor              

$10                  Coalition

Thomastown
$1.01               Labor           

$12                  Coalition

Warrandyte
$1.01            Coalition           

$12                     Labor

Wendouree
$1.10               Labor              (in from $1.20)
$6.00               Coalition          (out from $4.00)

Werribee
$1.01               Labor
$12                  Coalition

Williamstown
$1.01               Labor
$12                  Coalition

Yan Yean
$1.10               Labor              
(in from $1.20)              
$6.00               Coalition          (out from $4.25)

Yuroke
$1.01               Labor           

$12                  Coalition

Abbott Favoured To Lead Into Next Election

With the Coalition now trying to claw back a ten point gap in popularity to Labor adding to a troublesome week for Tony Abbott, , the PM will still lead his troops into the next Federal election according to online bookmaker sportsbet.com.au.

The bookie is offering plenty of markets for those that like to speculate – including $501 for Tony to rename Tasmania as China!

  • It’s a short $1.17 that Tony will not even be challenged over his leadership before the next election.
  • Malcolm Turnbull will be the man to recuse the party should they get cold feet, $8.00 to be the leader at the next election.
  • Should a challenge occur, 2016 is Sportsbet’s pick at $9.00.
  • Despite a disastrous budget, Joe Hockey is a short $1.10 to still be trying to balance the books come election day.

“He’s probably lost a few votes in Tassie after his China blunder, he’ll probably go to Tiananmen Square to rally for votes. But in all seriousness, we reckon Tony’s sitting pretty comfortably to still be calling the shots at the next election,” said sportsbet.com.au‘s Will Byrne.

Will Abbott face a leadership ballot before next election?

$4.50   Yes

$1.17   No  

 

When will Abbott face his first ballot?

$51      In 2014

$15      Jan – April 2015

$19      May – Aug 2015

$13      Sept – Dec 2015

$9.00  After 2015 before next federal election

$1.17   Not at all

 

Liberal Leader at election

$1.15  Abbott

$8.00   Turnbull

$12      J. Bishop

$13      Hockey

$15      Morrison

$34      Pyne

$34      Hunt

$34      Dutton

$41      Robb

$41      Smith

$101    B. Bishop

$201    Mirabella

 

Will Joe Hockey be Treasurer at the election?

$1.10     Yes 

$6.00     No

Labour Shortest Price To Win Election Since Betting Commenced

Labor continues to be heavily backed at Sportingbet.com.au to win this month’s Victorian state election with punters slashing the odds of Daniel Andrews-led party into the shortest since betting on the election commenced.

When Sportingbet first opened its market in March, Labor was a marginal $1.75 favourite with the Coaltion $2.05.

Labor is now an overwhelming $1.12 favourite at Sportingbet, while the Coalition’s odds have drifted out to $6.

“Punters are confident of making a quick return and are treating Labor’s odds as better than bank interest,” Sportingbet’s Andrew Brown said.

“Five-figure bets keep coming in for Labor while the Coalition is friendless.”

It’s a $2.30 favourite option at Sportingbet that Labor will win between 50-54 seats, with 45-49 seats a $2.60 chance, 55-59 seats $5 and 40-44 seats $6.

Sportingbet is offering more than 90 markets on the Victorian state election, including individual seats, whether The Greens will win a seat and a Labor v Coalition seats handicap market.

Victorian State Election – Winning Party

Labor $1.14

Coalition $5.50

 

Will the Greens win a seat?

No $1.37

Yes $2.85

 

Labor – Total seats won

50-54 seats $2.25

45-49 seats $2.80

55-59 seats $5

40-44 seats $5.50

39 or less seats $11

60+ seats $19

 

Coalition – Total seats won

35-39 seats $2.15

40-44 seats $3

34 or less seats $3.75

45-49 seats $6

50-54 seats $15

55+ seats $41

 

Labor v Coalition – Seats Handicap

Labor -8.5 $1.90

Coalition +8.5 $1.90

 

Hung Parliament?

No $1.06

Yes $8

 

Seat Of Shepparton

Coalition $1.01

Any other $15

Labor $17

 

Seat Of Gippsland East 

Coalition $1.01

Any other $15

Labor $17

 

Seat Of Gippsland South

Coalition $1.01

Any other $15

Labor $17

 

Seat Of Lowan

Coalition $1.01

Any other $15

Labor $17

 

Seat Of Malvern 

Coalition $1.01

Labor $15

Any Other $17

 

Seat Of Ovens Valley

Coalition $1.01

Labor $15

Any Other $17

 

Seat Of Warrendyte

Coalition $1.01

Labor $15

Any Other $17

 

Seat Of Hawthorn

Coalition $1.02

Labor $13

Any Other $17

 

Seat Of Mornington

Coalition $1.02

Labor $13

Any Other $17

 

Seat Of Narracan

Coalition $1.02

Labor $13

Any Other $17

 

Seat Of Benambra

Coalition $1.02

Labor $13

Any Other $17

 

Seat Of Kew

Coalition $1.02

Labor $13

Any Other $17

 

Seat Of Sadringham

Coalition $1.02

Labor $13

Any Other $17

 

Seat Of Bulleen

Coalition $1.02

Labor $13

Any Other $17

 

Seat Of Mildura

Coalition $1.02

Labor $13

Any Other $17

 

Seat Of Brighton

Coalition $1.02

Labor $13

Any Other $17

 

Seat Of Polwarth

Coalition $1.02

Labor $13

Any Other $17

 

Seat Of Nepean

Coalition $1.02

Labor $13

Any Other $17

 

Seat Of Euroa

Coalition $1.01

Labor $15

Any Other $17

 

Seat Of Morwell 

Coalition $1.55

Labor $2.70

Any Other $6

 

Seat Of Evelyn

Coalition $1.04

Labor $8.50

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Bass

Coalition $1.04

Labor $8.50

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Croydon

Coalition $1.10

Labor $6

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of South-West Coast

Coalition $1.04

Labor $8.50

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Ferntree Gully

Coalition $1.08

Labor $6.50

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Caulfield

Coalition $1.06

Labor $7.50

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Hastings

Coalition $1.14

Labor $5

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Box Hill

Coalition $1.08

Labor $6.50

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Gembrook

Coalition $1.16

Labor $4.50

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Mount Waverley

Coalition $1.16

Labor $4.50

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Eildon

Coalition $1.18

Labor $4.50

Any Other $15

 

Seat Of Bayswater

Coalition $1.30

Labor $3.20

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Ringwood

Coalition $1.47

Labor $2.50

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Burwood

Coalition $1.33

Labor $3.10

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of South Barwon

Coalition $1.65

Labor $2.10

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Prahan

Coalition $1.36

Labor $3.20

Any Other $8

 

Seat Of Forest Hill

Coalition $1.75

Labor $2.00

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Bellarine

Labor $1.36

Coalition $2.90

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Ripon

Coalition $1.34

Labor $3.00

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Mordialloc

Labor $1.55

Coalition $2.30

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Monbulk

Labor $1.22

Coalition $4

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Bentleigh

Labor $1.30

Coalition $3.20

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Frankston

Labor $1.14

Coalition $5

Any Other $17

 

Seat Of Carrum

Labor $1.30

Coalition $3.20

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Wendouree

Labor $1.14

Coalition $5

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Yan Yean

Labor $1.15

Coalition $4.65

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Eltham

Labor $1.22

Coalition $3.85

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Albert Park

Labor $1.12

Coalition $5.50

Any Other $15

 

Seat Of Cranbourne

Labor $1.16

Coalition $4.50

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Buninyong

Labor $1.08

Coalition $6.50

Any Other $26

 

Seat Of Ivanhoe

Labor $1.12

Coalition $5.50

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Macedon

Labor $1.47

Coalition $2.50

Any Other $26

 

Seat Of Mulgrave

Labor $1.08

Coalition $6.50

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Bendigo West

Labor $1.08

Coalition $6.50

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Bendigo East

Labor $1.06

Coalition $7.50

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Geelong

Labor $1.20

Coalition $4.25

Any Other $17

 

Seat Of Essendon

Labor $1.06

Coalition $7.50

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Niddrie

Labor $1.02

Coalition $11.00

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of  Narre Warren North

Labor $1.02

Coalition $11.00

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Oakleigh

Labor $1.04

Coalition $9.00

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Sunbury

Labor $1.06

Coalition $7.50

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Narre Warren South

Labor $1.04

Coalition $9

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Keysborough

Labor $1.01

Coalition $13

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Bundoora

Labor $1.01

Coalition $13

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Tarneit

Labor $1.01

Coalition $13

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Werribee

Labor $1.01

Coalition $13

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Sydenham

Labor $1.01

Coalition $13

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Clarinda

Labor $1.01

Coalition $13

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Altona

Labor $1.01

Coalition $13

Any Other $21

 

Seat Of Melbourne

Labor $1.35

Any Other $2.75

Coalition $26

 

Seat Of Richmond

Labor $1.20

Any other $4

Coalition $19

 

Seat Of Brunswick

Labor $1.16

Any other $4.50

Coalition $21

 

Seat Of Northcote

Labor $1.08

Any other $6.50

Coalition $21

 

Seat Of Rowville

Coalition $1.02

Labor $11

Any other $21

Debate Victory Looms For Andrews

We have seen them kissing babies on the head and awkwardly trying to participate in sport, it’s now time for Daniel Andrews and Denis Napthine to go head to head in their first debate, and it’s a safe bet that Andrews will have the silver tongue.

With Labor clear favourites at $1.14 to win the Victorian election, Andrews will be full of confidence and looks likely to come away from Wednesday’s debate the victor, priced at $1.50 with online bookmaker sportsbet.com.au.

But Napthine won’t go down without a fight and is given some hope, priced at $2.50.

Even if Napthine can pull off an upset his Liberal Party is still clear outsiders to win the election, ballooning out to $5.20.

In other Victorian election betting news:

  • Craig Langdon has put his hand up to run as an Independent in Ivanhoe, but it may be a waste of time with the former Labor MP a $10 outsider ahead of Labor ($1.17) and the Coalition ($6.00).
  • Bentleigh looked to be safe for Labor, but punters are giving the Coalition a real shot and are in from $3.25 to $2.50. Labor remain favourites but are out from $1.28 to $1.50.
  • Macedon is the closest seat overall, with both Labor and the Coalition unable to be split at $1.87 each.

“Looking at the betting Andrews should enter the debate full of confidence. Unless he keeps switching between calling himself Dan or Daniel or has any other major stuff up, he should come away from the debate the winner,” said sportsbet.com.au‘s Shaun Anderson.

2014 Victorian State Election Winner
(Prices in brackets from Saturday 15 November)
$1.14               Labor             

$5.20               Liberals
Who will win the leaders debate?

$1.50              Daniel Andrews
$2.50               Denis Napthine

Terms:  Based on winner of November 19 debate, as determined by Sky News poll of audience.

Albert Park
$1.33         Labor              

$3.50        Coalition
$15          Tex Perkins

Altona
$1.01        Labor              

$12           Coalition

Bass
$1.02      Coalition             

$10              Labor          

Bayswater
$1.28      Coalition         

$3.25           Labor

Bellarine
$1.20         Labor      

$4.00        Coalition          

Benambra
$1.01       Coalition             

$12               Labor          

Bendigo East
$1.06         Labor            

$7.50         Coalition

Bendigo West
$1.06         Labor            

$7.50         Coalition

Bentleigh
$1.50          Labor          
 (out from $1.28)              
$2.50         Coalition          (in from $3.25)

Box Hill
$1.10       Coalition         

$6.00          Labor               

Brighton
$1.02      Coalition             

$10              Labor                    

Broadmeadows
$1.01         Labor            

$12            Coalition

Brunswick
$1.10          Labor           
 (in from $1.15)              
$9.00          Greens             (steady)
$14             Coalition          (steady)

Bulleen
$1.01        Coalition            

$12                Labor                     

Bundoora
$1.01           Labor            

$12              Coalition

Buninyong
$1.19           Labor              

$4.50          Coalition

Burwood
$1.33        Coalition         

$3.00            Labor

Carrum
$1.45           Labor          
 (out from $1.20)              
$2.60          Coalition          (in from $4.00)          

Caulfield
$1.10       Coalition            

$6.00          Labor

Clarinda
$1.01         Labor            

$12            Coalition

Cranbourne
$1.20         Labor        
  (in from $1.30)             
$4.20        Coalition        (out from $3.25)          

Croydon
$1.10       Coalition            

$6.00          Labor

Dandenong
$1.01         Labor           

$12            Coalition

Eildon
$1.20      Coalition         

$4.00          Labor

Eltham
$1.35          Labor              

$3.00         Coalition          

Essendon
$1.04          Labor           

$8.50         Coalition     

Euroa
$1.02       Coalition            

$10               Labor             

Evelyn
$1.06      Coalition            

$7.50           Labor

Ferntree Gully
$1.10        Coalition            

$6.00           Labor            

Footscray
$1.05          Labor             

$7.00         Coalition          

Forest Hill
$1.50         Coalition        
 (in from $1.70)
$2.50             Labor               (out from $2.10)

Frankston
$1.15             Labor              

$4.20            Coalition
$21              Geoff Shaw      

Geelong
$1.30            Labor            
  (in from $1.40)              
$3.30            Coalition          (out from $2.80)          

Gembrook
$1.14          Coalition            

$5.00             Labor            

Gippsland East
$1.01         Coalition            

$12                  Labor            

Gippsland South
$1.01          Coalition            

$12                  Labor

Hastings
$1.14           Coalition            

$5.00              Labor            

Hawthorn
$1.01         Coalition            

$12                  Labor

Ivanhoe
$1.17             Labor          
    (in from $1.22)              
$6.00           Coalition          (out from $4.00)
$10           Craig Langdon

Kew
$1.01       Coalition            

$12               Labor

Keysborough
$1.01          Labor           

$12             Coalition

Kororoit
$1.01          Labor           

$12             Coalition

Lara
$1.01          Labor           

$12             Coalition     

Lowan
$1.01        Coalition          

$12               Labor

Macedon
$1.87          Labor             
 (out from $1.70)              
$1.87        Coalition         (in from $2.05)          

Malvern
$1.01        Coalition          

$12               Labor   

Melbourne
$1.40          Labor              

$2.75            Greens
$21              Coalition

Melton
$1.01           Labor           

$12              Coalition         

Mildura
$1.01        Coalition          

$12                Labor   

Mill Park
$1.01          Labor           

$12             Coalition         

Monbulk
$1.25          Labor              

$3.50         Coalition          

Mordialloc
$1.68        Coalition  
        (out from $1.50)
$2.50            Labor               (in from $2.12)

Mornington
$1.01        Coalition          

$12                Labor   

Morwell
$1.60        Coalition         

$2.20             Labor

Mount Waverly
$1.14         Coalition          

$5.00             Labor

Mulgrave
$1.25            Labor              

$3.70            Coalition

Murray Plains
$1.01          Coalition          

$12                  Labor

Narracan
$1.01          Coalition          

$12                  Labor   

Narre Warren North
$1.07             Labor         
  (out from $1.04)           
$7.00            Coalition          (in from $8.50)  

Narre Warren South
$1.25            Labor              

$3.70           Coalition

Nepean
$1.02        Coalition          

$10                 Labor

Niddrie
$1.04            Labor              

$8.50            Coalition

Northcote
$1.03            Labor              
(in from $1.05)              
$13                  Greens             (out from $11)
$16                Coalition          (steady)

Oakleigh
$1.04            Labor           

$8.50            Coalition

Ovens Valley
$1.01         Coalition           

$12                  Labor

Pascoe Vale
$1.01            Labor           

$12               Coalition            

Polwarth
$1.02          Coalition           

$10                  Labor        

Prahran
$1.20          Coalition 

$4.00               Labor

Preston
$1.01               Labor           

$12                  Coalition

Richmond
$1.14              Labor              

$5.00              Greens             (in from $7.00)
$16                 Coalition

Ringwood
$1.33          Coalition         

$3.00               Labor

Ripon
$1.15           Coalition        
 (in from $1.30)      
$5.00               Labor               (out from $3.30)

Rowville
$1.02         Coalition           

$10                  Labor

Sandringham
$1.01          Coalition           

$12                  Labor

Shepparton
$1.01          Coalition           

$12                  Labor

South Barwon
$1.57           Coalition         

$2.30               Labor

South-West Coast
$1.10           Coalition           

$6.00               Labor

St Albans
$1.02              Labor           

$10                  Coalition

Sunbury
$1.12               Labor              

$5.00              Coalition          

Sydenham
$1.01               Labor           

$12                   Coalition

Tarneit
$1.02               Labor              

$10                   Coalition

Thomastown
$1.01               Labor           

$12                   Coalition

Warrandyte
$1.01            Coalition           

$12                     Labor     

Wendouree
$1.20               Labor           

$4.00               Coalition       

Werribee
$1.01               Labor           

$12                  Coalition     

Williamstown
$1.01               Labor           

$12                  Coalition

Yan Yean
$1.20               Labor              

$4.25               Coalition

Yuroke
$1.01               Labor           

$12                  Coalition

Liberal Victory Long Odds On In South Australia

LIBERAL VICTORY BETTER ODDS THAN A BLACK CAVIAR WIN

Steven Marshall had better start working on his acceptance speech, with online bookmaker Sportsbet Australia reporting that the betting on the South Australian election says the Liberals are home.

The Liberals find themselves at the Black Caviar like odds of $1.03 to win Government ahead of Labor on $9.00, a long way from the original starting prices of $1.40 and $2.75 respectively.

To put it in perspective, when Black Caviar ran in Adelaide at the Robert Sangster Stakes and Goodwood Handicap, both times she was priced at $1.05, longer odds than what the Liberals currently are.

Things have only become more bleak for Labor from a betting point of view just days from the election, with the Liberals firming in the seats of Ashford, Colton, Light, Mitchell, Mount Gambier and Newland.

“It has been all one way traffic from a punting point of view. Punters are confident that the Liberals are home, and the way the money has been coming in for them its hard to see any other result,” said Sportsbet’s Shaun Anderson.

(Prices in brackets from original opening prices – Oct 23rd 2012)

SA Election Winner
$1.03      Liberals        (opened at $1.40)

$9.00      Labor            (opened at $2.75)

South Australian Electorates
Adelaide

$1.10      Liberals        (steady)
$6.00      Labor            (steady)
$34         Any other     (steady)

Ashford
$1.05      Liberals        (in from $1.08)

$8.00      Labor            (out from $6.50)
$34         Any other     (out from $26)

Bragg
$1.001    Liberals        (steady)

$13         Labor            (steady)
$34         Any other     (steady)

Bright
$1.08      Liberals        (steady)

$6.50      Labor            (steady)
$34         Any other     (steady)

Chaffey
$1.001    Liberals        (steady)

$13         Nationals      (steady)
$34         Labor            (steady)
$34         Any other     (steady)

Cheltenham
$1.001    Labor           (steady)

$13         Liberals        (steady)

$34         Any other     (steady)

Colton
$1.40      Liberals
        (in from $1.50)
$2.75      Labor            (out from $2.50)

$34         Any other     (steady)

Croydon
$1.001    Labor           (steady)

$13         Liberals        (steady)

$34         Any other     (steady)

Davenport
$1.001    Liberals        (steady)

$13         Labor            (steady)

$34         Any other     (steady)

Dunstan
$1.01      Liberals        (steady)

$12         Labor            (steady)

$34         Any other     (steady)


Elder
$1.20      Liberals        (steady)

$4.00      Labor            (steady)

$34         Any other     (steady)

Enfield
$1.05      Labor           (steady)

$8.00      Liberals        (steady)

$34         Any other     (steady)

Finniss
$1.001    Liberals        (steady)

$13         Labor            (steady)

$34         Any other     (steady)

Fisher
$1.11      Bob Such     (out from $1.07)

$5.00      Liberals        (in from $6.00)

$34         Labor            (steady)
$41         Any other     (steady)

Flinders
$1.001    Liberals        (steady)

$13         Nationals      (steady)
$26         Labor            (steady)

$34         Any other     (steady)

Florey
$1.73      Liberals
        (steady)
$2.00      Labor            (steady)

$34         Any other     (steady)

Frome
$1.40      Geoff Brock (out from $1.35)

$2.75      Liberals        (in from $2.90)

$26         Labor            (steady)
$34         Any other     (steady)

Giles
$1.33      Labor           (out from $1.25)

$3.00      Liberals        (in from $3.50)

$26         Any other     (steady)

Goyder
$1.001    Liberals        (steady)

$13         Labor            (steady)

$34         Any other     (steady)

Hammond
$1.001    Liberals        (steady)

$13         Labor            (steady)

$34         Any other     (steady)

Hartley
$1.05      Liberals        (steady)

$8.00      Labor            (steady)

$34         Any other     (steady)

Heysen
$1.001    Liberals        (steady)

$13         Labor            (steady)

$26         Any other     (steady)

Kaurna
$1.08      Labor           (steady)

$6.50      Liberals        (steady)

$34         Any other     (steady)

Kavel
$1.001    Liberals        (steady)

$13         Labor            (steady)

$34         Any other     (steady)

Lee
$1.20      Labor                       (in from $1.25)

$5.00      Liberals                    (steady)

$7.00      Gary Johanson          (out from $6.00)
$34         Any other                 (steady)

Light
$1.50      Liberals        (in from $1.62)

$2.50      Labor            (out from $2.20)

$34         Any other     (steady)

Little Para
$1.01      Labor           (out from $1.001)

$12         Liberals        (steady)

$34         Any other     (steady)

MacKillop
$1.001    Liberals        (steady)

$13         Any other     (steady)
$34         Labor            (steady)

Mawson
$1.73      Labor           (out from $1.67)

$2.00      Liberals        (in from $2.10)

$34         Any other     (steady)

Mitchell
$1.25      Liberals        (in from $1.40)

$4.00      Labor            (out from $3.75)

$6.00      Kris Hanna    (out from $4.50)
$41         Any other     (out from $34)

Morialta
$1.03      Liberals        (steady)

$9.50      Labor            (steady)
$34         Any other     (steady)

Morphett
$1.001    Liberals        (steady)

$13         Labor            (steady)
$34         Any other     (steady)

Mount Gambier
$1.45      Liberals
        (in from $1.57)

$2.60      Don Pegler   (out from $2.30)

$34         Labor            (steady)
$41         Any other     (steady)

 

Napier
$1.001    Labor           (steady)

$13         Any other     (steady)
$26         Liberals        (steady)

Newland
$1.40      Liberals
        (in from $1.50)
$2.75      Labor            (out from $2.50)

$34         Any other     (steady)

Playford
$1.001    Labor           (steady)

$13         Liberals        (steady)
$34         Any other     (steady)

Port Adelaide
$1.001    Labor           (steady)

$13         Liberals        (steady)
$34         Any other     (steady)

Ramsay
$1.001    Labor           (steady)

$13         Liberals        (steady)
$34         Any other     (steady)

Reynell
$1.03      Labor           (steady)

$9.00      Liberals        (steady)
$34         Any other     (steady)

Schubert
$1.001    Liberals        (steady)

$13         Labor            (steady)
$34         Any other     (steady)

Stuart
$1.001    Liberals        (steady)

$13         Labor            (steady)
$34         Any other     (steady)

Taylor
$1.001    Labor           (steady)

$13         Liberals        (steady)
$34         Any other     (steady)

Torrens
$1.20      Labor           (steady)

$4.00      Liberals        (steady)
$34         Any other     (steady)

Unley
$1.001    Liberals        (steady)

$13         Labor            (steady)
$34         Any other     (steady)

Waite
$1.001    Liberals        (steady)

$13         Labor            (steady)
$34         Any other     (steady)

West Torrens
$1.02      Labor           (steady)

$10         Liberals        (steady)
$34         Any other     (steady)

Wright
$1.53      Labor           (in from $1.73)

$2.40      Liberals        (steady)
$8.00      Any other     (in from $11)

The Odds Of Anthony Mundine Swapping Boxing For Politics

As if Anthony ‘The Man’ Mundine hasn’t taken enough punishment in his career, now he wants to get into Politics?
It may not be as silly as it sounds, with online bookmaker Sportsbet Australia pricing $5.00 that Mundine will stand at the next NSW State Election.

But his desire to become Prime Minister seems a way off, with $501 priced for him to be the next PM.

“Maybe he has taken one to many hits to the head if he wants to get into politics? We have seen a trend of sportspeople getting into politics so it isn’t out of the question, but he has more of a chance of beating Mike Tyson than he does becoming Prime Minister,” said Sportsbet’s Shaun Anderson.


The Political Life of Anthony Mundine

$5.00               Anthony Mundine to stand at next NSW State Election

$6.00               Anthony Mundine to stand at next Federal Election

$10                  Anthony Mundine to register his own federal political party before the next Federal Election

$34                  Anthony Mundine to win a seat at next NSW State Election

$51                  Anthony Mundine to win a seat at next Federal Election

$501                Anthony Mundine to be the next PM of Australia

Sportsbet Open Victorian Election Betting 1 Year Out From Poll Day

With one year to go until the Victorian State election it looks like the Coalition will remain in power, with online bookmaker Sportsbet Australia today opening up betting on each individual electorate.
Overall the betting suggests the Coalition will win 44 seats and Labor 39.

The seats of Albert Park, Carrum, Eltham, Frankston, Wendouree and Yan Yean are all too close to call, with both the Coalition and Labor priced at $1.83 each in these seats.

Overall the Coalition are priced at $1.67 with Labor $2.10 outsiders.

“With one year to go the betting suggests it will be a Coalition win, but it is far from a sure thing. We are tipping the seats of Albert Park, Carrum, Eltham, Frankston, Wendouree and Yan Yean will be tight and could be the difference,” said Sportsbet’s Shaun Anderson.

Several other markets have also been opened for the Victorian election, including whether Geoff Shaw standing as an independent will win the Frankston seat ($21).

In other state politics news, embattled speaker Ken Smith is a $1.73 to be speaker at the end of this week while Sportsbet rate it a $2.00 chance he will be gone.

 

 

2014 Victorian Election Winner

$1.67     Coalition

$2.10     Labor
Geoff Shaw special

$21        Geoff Shaw to win in Frankston
Will Ken Smith be Speaker of the Victorian Parliament on Saturday 30th November?

$1.73     Yes
$2.00     No

2014 Victorian Election Seats

Albert Park
$1.83     Labor

$1.83     Coalition

Altona
$1.02     Labor

$10        Coalition

Bass
$1.02     Coalition

$10        Labor

 

Bayswater
$1.14     Coalition

$5.00     Labor

Bellarine
$1.50     Coalition

$2.50     Labor

Benambra
$1.01     Coalition

$12        Labor

 

Bendigo East
$1.50     Labor

$2.50     Coalition

 

Bendigo West
$1.50     Labor

$2.50     Coalition

Bentleigh
$1.73     Coalition

$2.00     Labor

 

Box Hill
$1.07     Coalition

$7.00     Labor
Brighton
$1.02     Coalition

$10        Labor

Broadmeadows
$1.01     Labor

$12        Coalition

Brunswick
$1.25     Labor

$4.50     Greens
$15        Coalition

 

Bulleen
$1.01     Coalition

$12        Labor

 

Bundoora
$1.02     Labor

$10        Coalition

 

Buninyong
$1.62     Labor

$2.20     Coalition

 

Burwood
$1.14     Coalition

$5.00     Labor

Carrum
$1.83     Coalition

$1.83     Labor

 

Caulfield
$1.05     Coalition

$8.00     Labor

 

Clarinda
$1.02     Labor

$10        Coalition

Cranbourne
$1.73     Labor

$2.00     Coalition
Croydon
$1.02     Coalition

$10        Labor

Dandenong
$1.02     Labor

$10        Coalition

Eildon
$1.10     Coalition

$6.00     Labor

Eltham
$1.83     Coalition

$1.83     Labor

Essendon
$1.30     Labor

$3.10     Coalition

 

Evelyn
$1.02     Coalition

$10        Labor

 

Euroa
$1.02     Nationals

$10        Labor

Ferntree Gully
$1.02     Coalition

$10        Labor

Footscray
$1.01     Labor

$12        Coalition

Forest Hill
$1.33     Coalition

$3.00     Labor

 

Frankston
$1.83     Coalition

$1.83     Labor

Geelong
$1.30     Labor

$3.10     Coalition

Gembrook
$1.07     Coalition

$7.00     Labor

Gippsland East
$1.01     Nationals

$12        Labor

 

Gippsland South
$1.01     Nationals

$12        Labor

 

Hastings
$1.05     Coalition

$8.00     Labor

Hawthorn
$1.01     Coalition

$12        Labor

 

Ivanhoe
$1.62     Labor

$2.20     Coalition

Kew
$1.01     Coalition

$12        Labor

Keysborough
$1.05     Labor

$8.00     Coalition

 

Kororoit
$1.01     Labor

$12        Coalition

 

Lara
$1.02     Labor

$10        Coalition

Lowan
$1.01     Nationals

$12        Labor

Macedon
$1.57     Labor

$2.30     Coalition

Malvern
$1.01     Coalition

$12        Labor

Melbourne
$1.25     Labor

$4.50     Greens
$10        Coalition

Melton
$1.02     Labor

$10        Coalition

Mildura
$1.01     National

$12        Labor

Mill Park
$1.01     Labor

$12        Coalition

Monbulk
$1.73     Coalition

$2.00     Labor

Mordialloc
$1.62     Coalition

$2.20     Labor
Mornington
$1.01     Coalition

$12        Labor

Morwell
$1.02     Nationals

$10        Labor

 

Mount Waverley
$1.07     Coalition

$7.00     Labor

 

Mulgrave
$1.57     Labor

$2.30     Coalition


Murray Plains
$1.01     Nationals

$12        Labor

Narracan
$1.01     Coalition

$12        Labor


Narra Warren North
$1.22     Labor

$3.60     Coalition

Narra Warren South
$1.10     Labor

$6.00     Coalition

Nepean
$1.02     Coalition

$10        Labor

 

Niddrie
$1.30     Labor

$3.10     Coalition

Northcote
$1.20     Labor

$5.00     Greens
$15        Coalition
Oakleigh
$1.20     Labor

$4.00     Coalition

Ovens Valley
$1.01     Nationals

$12        Labor

 

Pascoe Vale
$1.01     Labor

$12        Coalition

Polwarth
$1.02     Coalition

$10        Labor

Prahran
$1.20     Coalition

$4.00     Labor

 

Preston
$1.01     Labor

$12        Coalition

Ringwood
$1.14     Coalition

$5.00     Labor

Ripon
$1.62     Coalition

$2.20     Labor

 

Rowville
$1.02     Coalition

$10        Labor

Richmond
$1.25     Labor

$4.50     Greens
$15        Coalition

 

Sandringham
$1.01     Coalition

$12        Labor

Shepparton
$1.01     Nationals

$12        Labor

South Barwon
$1.20     Coalition

$4.00     Labor

South-West Coast
$1.02     Coalition

$10        Labor

St Albans
$1.02     Labor

$10        Coalition

Sunbury
$1.14     Labor

$5.00     Coalition

Sydenham
$1.02     Labor

$10        Coalition

Tarneit
$1.02     Labor

$10        Coalition

Thomastown
$1.01     Labor

$12        Coalition

Warrandyte
$1.01     Coalition

$12        Labor

Wendouree
$1.83     Coalition

$1.83     Labor

Werribee
$1.02     Labor

$10        Coalition

Williamstown
$1.02     Labor

$10        Coalition

Yan Yean
$1.83     Coalition

$1.83     Labor

Yuroke
$1.01     Labor

$12        Coalition

 

Betting Suggests There Will Be No Revote Despite Missing WA Senate Votes

WA voters will be relieved to know that online bookmaker Sportsbet Australia has priced it more unlikely for another senate vote in WA to take place at $1.73.

The unique situation of the lost ballot papers in the recount has led to calls for another polling day whilst others want the original count declared the official result.

Clive Palmer is on a roll after just being declared the winner of the seat of Fairfax and would gain another senate seat if the original count was declared the final result.

Sportsbet haven’t ruled out the chances of another trip to the polls however, priced at $2.00.

“It’s touch and go as to how the authorities deal with this crisis and that’s reflected in the odds with a slight favouritism to no re-poll,’’ Sportsbet’s Will Byrne said.


Will WA voters go back to the polls again for a 2nd Senate election?

$1.73   No

$2.00   Yes

Deborah O’Neill Hot Favourite To Replace Sportsbet

With one day to go until nominations close on who will replace Bob Carr in the Senate, Deborah O’Neill has firmed with online bookmaker Sportsbet Australia to almost unbeatable odds of $1.02.

 

It has been one way punter support for the former Robertson MP, receiving over 95% of all money wagered on the market with Mike Kelly ($14) the only other candidate to attract any interest.

 

Activist Michelle Miran has made a late bid by throwing her hat into the ring but is seen as the outsider to replace the former foreign affairs minister with odds of $19.

“Deb O’Neill made it known early doors that she wanted Bob’s position – before he even retired! She looks a shoe in to step up to the upper house,” said Sportsbet’s Will Byrne.

Bob Carr’s Senate Replacement
(Prices in brackets from Wednesday 23 October)
$1.02               Deborah O’Neill                     (in from $1.10)

$12                  Graeme Wedderburn             (out from $8)
$14                  Mike Kelly                               (out from $10)
$16                  Tara Moriarty                         (out from $12)
$19                  Michelle Miran

Christine Milne Losing Grip On Greens Leadership

Adam Bandt has firmed from $8.00 into $3.25 with online bookmaker Sportsbet Australia to be the Greens leader at the next election but Christine Milne has kept the pack at arm’s length and remains the $1.50 favourite.

Apart from Bob Brown, who remains the $41 outsider, every other candidate in the market has drifted in the betting, including Richard Di Natale, who’s gone from $5.00 out to $8.00.

“The environment has changed with Adam Bandt firming into the second line of betting, but Milne still looks as safe as houses,” Sportsbet’s Ben Hawes said.

In the battle for the Labor party leadership, Anthony Albanese continues to be the $1.33 favourite ahead of Bill Shorten ($3.00).


Greens leader at next election
$1.50   Christine Milne                      (steady)
$3.25   Adam Bandt                            (in from $8.00)
$8.00   Richard Di Natale                   (out from $5.00)
$10      Peter Whish-Wilson                (out from $7.00)
$17      Lee Rhiannon                          (out from $14)
$19      Sarah Hanson Young               (out from $16)
$26      Rachel Siewart                        (out from $21)
$34      Larissa Waters                        (out from $26)
$34      Penny Wright                          (out from $26)
$41      Janet Rice                                (out from $34)
$41      Bob Brown                              (steady)

Next Labor Leader
$1.33   Anthony Albanese                 (steady)
  
$3.00   Bill Shorten                             (steady)