Punters back Bishop to become new Prime Minister

TONY Abbott remains odds-on at Sportingbet.com.au to lead the Coalition into the next election, but over the past two months punters have halved the price of Julie Bishop taking over the top job.

While Mr Abbott’s odds of being PM at the next election have eased from $1.20 to $1.33 at Sportingbet since December, Ms Bishop’s odds have shortened significantly from $10 to $5.

“Bishop has attracted more interest than anyone else in this market and as of last week she has replaced Malcolm Turnbull as second favourite,” Sportingbet’s Andrew Brown said.

Turnbull’s odds have slipped from as low as $4 last June to the current quote of $7.

Prime Minister at the next election

Tony Abbott $1.33

Julie Bishop $5

Malcolm Turnbull $7

Scott Morrison $13

Joe Hockey $26

Christopher Pyne $41

George Brandis $51

Barnaby Joyce $67

Andrew Robb $81

Eric Abetz $81

Warren Truss $101

Peter Dutton $101

PUNTER BETS $5,000 FOR LIBERALS TO CAUSE UPSET

One punter is bucking the betting trend with the Victorian election only weeks away, putting their money where their mouth is and betting $5,000 with online bookmaker sportsbet.com.au on the drifting Liberals.

The bet, the biggest individual bet on the election to date, comes despite the Liberals looking less and less likely, today drifting out from $5.00 to $5.20 – the biggest price they have been since the market opened 18 months ago.

Labor continue to look home, in from $1.16 to $1.14.

“Virtually all of the money this week was for Labor until we took this big bet on the Liberals. This punter has jumped on them at big odds and could be the one left laughing if the Liberals can pull off an upset,” said sportsbet.com.au‘s Shaun Anderson.

2014 Victorian State Election Winner
(Prices in brackets from Friday 14 November)
$1.14     Labor            (in from $1.16)     
                  

$5.20     Liberals         (out from $5.00)                     
Next Victoria Number Plate Slogans

$1.05     “The Educated State”

$10         “The Laneway State”

$11         “The Coffee State”

$12         “Speed Camera Ahead”

$15         “The AFL State”

$16         “The Guernsey State”

$21         “The Myki State”

$21         “The Potato Cake State”

$26         “The Underbelly State”

$26         “The Weather State”

$31         “Dan’s State”

$34         “The better than NSW State ”

$51         “Four Seasons in One Day State”

$67         “The VB State”

$101       “The No Airport Link State”

$251       “The Nanny State”

$251       “We get a Day off for Melbourne Cup”

$501       “Melbourne – Hipsters Welcome”

Albert Park
$1.33              Labor              

$3.50               Coalition
$15                   Tex Perkins

Altona
$1.01              Labor              

$12                   Coalition

Bass
$1.02              Coalition             

$10                   Labor          

Bayswater
$1.28              Coalition         

$3.25                Labor

Bellarine
$1.20               Labor   

$4.00                Coalition          

Benambra
$1.01              Coalition             

$12                   Labor          

Bendigo East
$1.06               Labor            

$7.50                 Coalition

Bendigo West
$1.06             Labor            

$7.50              Coalition

Bentleigh
$1.28              Labor              

$3.25               Coalition

Box Hill
$1.10              Coalition         

$6.00               Labor               

Brighton
$1.02              Coalition             

$10                   Labor                    

Broadmeadows
$1.01              Labor            

$12                  Coalition

Brunswick
$1.15              Labor              

$9.00              Greens
$14                  Coalition

Bulleen
$1.01             Coalition            

$12                  Labor                     

Bundoora
$1.01             Labor            

$12                  Coalition

Buninyong
$1.19              Labor              

$4.50               Coalition

Burwood
$1.33              Coalition         

$3.00               Labor

Carrum
$1.20              Labor              

$4.00               Coalition          

Caulfield
$1.10              Coalition            

$6.00               Labor

Clarinda
$1.01             Labor            

$12                  Coalition

Cranbourne
$1.30             Labor             

$3.25               Coalition          

Croydon
$1.10              Coalition            

$6.00               Labor

Dandenong
$1.01             Labor           

$12                  Coalition

Eildon
$1.20              Coalition         

$4.00               Labor

Eltham
$1.35              Labor              

$3.00               Coalition          

Essendon
$1.04              Labor           

$8.50               Coalition     

Euroa
$1.02             Coalition            

$10                  Labor             

Evelyn
$1.06             Coalition            

$7.50               Labor

Ferntree Gully
$1.10              Coalition            

$6.00               Labor            

Footscray
$1.05              Labor             

$7.00               Coalition          

Forest Hill
$1.70             Coalition

$2.10               Labor

Frankston
$1.15             Labor              

$4.20              Coalition
$21                  Geoff Shaw      

Geelong
$1.40              Labor              

$2.80               Coalition          

Gembrook
$1.14              Coalition            

$5.00               Labor            

Gippsland East
$1.01             Coalition            

$12                  Labor            

Gippsland South
$1.01             Coalition            

$12                  Labor

Hastings
$1.14              Coalition            

$5.00               Labor            

Hawthorn
$1.01             Coalition            

$12                  Labor

Ivanhoe
$1.22              Labor              

$4.00               Coalition

Kew
$1.01             Coalition            

$12                  Labor

Keysborough
$1.01             Labor           

$12                  Coalition

Kororoit
$1.01             Labor           

$12                  Coalition

Lara
$1.01             Labor           

$12                  Coalition     

Lowan
$1.01             Coalition          

$12                  Labor

Macedon
$1.70              Labor              

$2.05               Coalition          

Malvern
$1.01             Coalition          

$12                  Labor   

Melbourne
$1.40            Labor              

$2.75              Greens
$21                  Coalition

Melton
$1.01             Labor           

$12                  Coalition         

Mildura
$1.01             Coalition          

$12                  Labor   

Mill Park
$1.01             Labor           

$12                  Coalition         

Monbulk
$1.25              Labor              

$3.50               Coalition          

Mordialloc
$1.50              Coalition    

$2.50               Labor

Mornington
$1.01             Coalition          

$12                  Labor   

Morwell
$1.60             Coalition         

$2.25               Labor

Mount Waverly
$1.14              Coalition          

$5.00               Labor

Mulgrave
$1.25              Labor              

$3.70               Coalition

Murray Plains
$1.01             Coalition          

$12                  Labor

Narracan
$1.01             Coalition          

$12                  Labor   

Narre Warren North
$1.04              Labor           

$8.50               Coalition  

Narre Warren South
$1.25              Labor              

$3.70               Coalition

Nepean
$1.02             Coalition          

$10                  Labor

Niddrie
$1.04             Labor              

$8.50               Coalition

Northcote
$1.05            Labor              

$11                  Greens
$16                 Coalition

Oakleigh
$1.04              Labor           

$8.50               Coalition

Ovens Valley
$1.01             Coalition           

$12                  Labor

Pascoe Vale
$1.01             Labor           

$12                  Coalition            

Polwarth
$1.02            Coalition           

$10                  Labor        

Prahran
$1.20             Coalition          

$4.00              Labor

Preston
$1.01             Labor           

$12                  Coalition

Richmond
$1.13               Labor              

$7.00               Greens
$16                   Coalition

Ringwood
$1.33              Coalition         

$3.00               Labor

Ripon
$1.30              Coalition
$3.30               Labor

Rowville
$1.02            Coalition           

$10                  Labor

Sandringham
$1.01             Coalition           

$12                  Labor

Shepparton
$1.01             Coalition           

$12                  Labor

South Barwon
$1.57              Coalition         

$2.30               Labor

South-West Coast
$1.10              Coalition           

$6.00               Labor

St Albans
$1.02             Labor           

$10                  Coalition

Sunbury
$1.12               Labor              

$5.00               Coalition          

Sydenham
$1.01              Labor           

$12                  Coalition

Tarneit
$1.02             Labor              

$10                  Coalition

Thomastown
$1.01             Labor           

$12                  Coalition

Warrandyte
$1.01             Coalition           

$12                  Labor     

Williamstown
$1.01             Labor           

$12                  Coalition       

Wendouree
$1.20              Labor           

$4.00               Coalition

Werribee
$1.01             Labor           

$12                  Coalition

Yan Yean
$1.20             Labor              

$4.25               Coalition

Yuroke
$1.01             Labor           

$12                  Coalition

Palmers United Party In Trouble In Victorian Election Betting

Clive Palmer and the PUP have set their sights on the Victoria election, but if the betting trends are anything to go by, the chances of them having success is about the same as Clive and Jacqui Lambie kissing and making up.

In Victorian betting news with online bookmaker sportsbet.com.au:

  • It looks a long shot that the PUP will even win one seat, with $1.07 priced that they will go home empty handed.
  • Musician Tex Perkins is trying his hand at politics, but is at big odds to win the Albert Park electorate at $15. Labor remain favourites at $1.18 ahead of the Coalition ($4.50).
  • Labor have firmed in Bellarine, in from $1.62 to $1.35. The Coalition have drifted to $2.90.
  • Labor remain clear favourites with punters to win the election. They are steady at $1.20 with more than double the money bet with them compared to the Liberals ($4.00).

Markets courtesy of sportsbet.com.au

2014 Victorian State Election Winner

$1.20 Labor
$4.00 Liberals

How many seats will the PUP win?
$1.07 None
$8.00 One seat
$17 Two seats
$46 Three seats
$51 Four or more

Albert Park
$1.18 Labor (out from $1.25)
$4.50 Coalition (out from $4.00)
$15 Tex Perkins

Altona
$1.01 Labor
$12 Coalition

Bass
$1.02 Coalition
$10 Labor

Bayswater
$1.28 Coalition
$3.25 Labor

Bellarine
$1.35 Labor (in from $1.62)
$2.90 Coalition (out from $2.20)

Benambra
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Labor

Bendigo East
$1.06 Labor
$7.50 Coalition

Bendigo West
$1.06 Labor
$7.50 Coalition

Bentleigh
$1.28 Labor
$3.25 Coalition

Box Hill
$1.10 Coalition
$6.00 Labor

Brighton
$1.02 Coalition
$10 Labor

Broadmeadows
$1.01 Labor
$12 Coalition

Brunswick
$1.15 Labor
$7.00 Greens
$12 Coalition

Bulleen
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Labor

Bundoora
$1.01 Labor
$12 Coalition

Buninyong
$1.23 Labor
$4.00 Coalition

Burwood
$1.33 Coalition
$3.00 Labor

Carrum
$1.33 Labor
$3.10 Coalition

Caulfield
$1.10 Coalition
$6.00 Labor

Clarinda
$1.01 Labor
$12 Coalition

Cranbourne
$1.35 Labor
$3.10 Coalition

Croydon
$1.10 Coalition
$6.00 Labor

Dandenong
$1.01 Labor
$12 Coalition

Eildon
$1.20 Coalition
$4.00 Labor

Eltham
$1.35 Labor (in from $1.40)
$3.00 Coalition (out from $2.75)

Essendon
$1.04 Labor
$8.50 Coalition

Euroa
$1.02 Coalition
$10 Labor

Evelyn
$1.06 Coalition
$7.50 Labor

Ferntree Gully
$1.10 Coalition
$6.00 Labor

Footscray
$1.05 Labor
$7.00 Coalition

Forest Hill
$1.70 Coalition
$2.10 Labor

Frankston
$1.25 Labor
$3.50 Coalition
$21 Geoff Shaw

Geelong
$1.40 Labor
$2.80 Coalition

Gembrook
$1.14 Coalition
$5.00 Labor

Gippsland East
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Labor

Gippsland South
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Labor

Hastings
$1.14 Coalition
$5.00 Labor

Hawthorn
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Labor

Ivanhoe
$1.22 Labor
$4.00 Coalition

Kew
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Labor

Keysborough
$1.01 Labor
$12 Coalition

Kororoit
$1.01 Labor
$12 Coalition

Lara
$1.01 Labor
$12 Coalition

Lowan
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Labor

Macedon
$1.70 Labor
$2.05 Coalition

Malvern
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Labor

Melbourne
$1.40 Labor
$3.50 Greens
$10 Coalition

Melton
$1.01 Labor
$12 Coalition

Mildura
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Labor

Mill Park
$1.01 Labor
$12 Coalition

Monbulk
$1.25 Labor
$3.50 Coalition

Mordialloc
$1.85 Labor
$1.85 Coalition

Mornington
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Labor

Morwell
$1.50 Coalition (in from $1.60)
$2.50 Labor (out from $2.25)

Mount Waverly
$1.14 Coalition
$5.00 Labor

Mulgrave
$1.25 Labor
$3.70 Coalition

Murray Plains
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Labor

Narracan
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Labor

Narre Warren North
$1.04 Labor
$8.50 Coalition

Narre Warren South
$1.25 Labor
$3.70 Coalition

Nepean
$1.02 Coalition
$10 Labor

Niddrie
$1.04 Labor
$8.50 Coalition

Northcote
$1.15 Labor
$6.00 Greens
$10 Coalition

Oakleigh
$1.04 Labor
$8.50 Coalition

Ovens Valley
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Labor

Pascoe Vale
$1.01 Labor
$12 Coalition

Polwarth
$1.02 Coalition
$10 Labor

Prahran
$1.16 Coalition
$4.50 Labor

Preston
$1.01 Labor
$12 Coalition

Richmond
$1.20 Labor (out from $1.17)
$5.50 Greens (in from $6.50)
$11 Coalition (steady)

Ringwood
$1.33 Coalition
$3.00 Labor

Ripon
$1.30 Coalition
$3.30 Labor

Rowville
$1.02 Coalition
$10 Labor

Sandringham
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Labor

Shepparton
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Labor

South Barwon
$1.57 Coalition
$2.30 Labor

South-West Coast
$1.10 Coalition
$6.00 Labor

St Albans
$1.02 Labor
$10 Coalition

Sunbury
$1.12 Labor
$5.00 Coalition

Sydenham
$1.01 Labor
$12 Coalition

Tarneit
$1.02 Labor
$10 Coalition

Thomastown
$1.01 Labor
$12 Coalition

Warrandyte
$1.01 Coalition
$12 Labor

Williamstown
$1.01 Labor
$12 Coalition

Wendouree
$1.20 Labor
$4.00 Coalition

Werribee
$1.01 Labor
$12 Coalition

Yan Yean
$1.20 Labor
$4.25 Coalition

Yuroke
$1.01 Labor
$12 Coalition

Albanese Firms To Lead Labor In Opposition

Anthony Albanese is into his shortest odds yet to be the next leader of the Labor party, firming from $1.50 into $1.25 with online bookmaker Sportsbet Australia over the last week.

His rival Bill Shorten has again eased in betting and is now out to $3.50. Shorten’s odds were as little as $1.15 on September 9 to take the reins from Kevin Rudd.

In the last week, Albanese has had just on $3,000 bet on him but of all the money staked on the pair, he’s only attracted 29 percent, with the rest going on Shorten.

“From a betting point of view, the last week has gone in Albanese’s favour. Shorten attracted the bulk of the early money hence why just on 70 percent of the money bet on the market has been on him but Albanese is closing the gap,” said Sportsbet’s Ben Hawes said.


Next Labor party leader
(Prices in brackets from 13 September)
$1.25   Anthony Albanese     (in from $1.50)       

$3.50   Bill Shorten                 (out from $2.50)

Nova Perris Light Years Ahead In Athlete Turned Politician Race

Plenty of Aussie sporting greats have aimed for careers in Canberra after hanging up their boots, spikes or boxing gloves and with a raft of athletes running for election this Saturday, online bookmaker Sportsbet Australia has framed a market on which one will be the most popular amongst the electorate.

Former sprinter and Hockey gold medallist Nova Perris looks set to win gold, priced at $1.10 to tally the most votes on September 7 out of the nine former sports stars now running for a political career.

Former Mariners coach Lawrie McKinna is currently second in the market at $7.00, followed by fast-bowler Nathan Bracken at $10 – the pair running for NSW electorates Robertson and Dobell respectively – with the ‘Brick with Eyes’ Glenn Lazarus paying $16.

“They’ve all conquered the first step and that’s having a longer political career then Mal Meninga!” said sportsbet’s Ben Hawes. “There’s a host of Aussie sporting greats striving for a move to Canberra, but it looks like Nova will be the first to cross the line as the most popular this Saturday.”

Rounding out the market is former Fremantle Docker Des Headland ($41), Western Force no.8 Lachlan McCaffrey ($101) and AFL legend Doug Hawkins ($101).

Most Popular Sportsperson
$1.10   Nova Perris

$7.00   Lawrie McKinna
$10      Nathan Bracken
$16      Glenn Lazarus
$21      David Wirrpanda
$31      Barry Michael
$41      Des Headland
$101    Doug Hawkins
$101    Lachlan McCaffrey
*Based on percentage of primary votes for HoR candidates and initial count allocations for Senate candidates

Federal Election winner
$1.02   Coalition         

$12      Labor